Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOGE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.070647 0.082334 0.095284 0.110688 0.128503 0.148454 0.172485
2024-10-06 0.054211 0.070016 0.089317 0.114581 0.146744 0.186292 0.238591
2024-10-13 0.043893 0.061542 0.084828 0.117714 0.162876 0.222638 0.307655
2024-10-20 0.034871 0.052402 0.077089 0.114248 0.168615 0.245090 0.360679
2024-10-27 0.028463 0.045443 0.070752 0.111014 0.173240 0.265511 0.412442
2024-11-03 0.024969 0.042062 0.068852 0.113605 0.186189 0.298912 0.486795
2024-11-10 0.022722 0.040187 0.068832 0.118842 0.203554 0.340689 0.578806
2024-11-17 0.020420 0.037793 0.067518 0.121587 0.216938 0.377337 0.666571
2024-11-24 0.018140 0.035044 0.065145 0.122052 0.226271 0.408012 0.747507
2024-12-01 0.016093 0.032382 0.062503 0.121567 0.233667 0.435885 0.826393
2024-12-08 0.014229 0.029767 0.059558 0.120044 0.238808 0.460053 0.900974
2024-12-15 0.013213 0.028666 0.059307 0.123571 0.253797 0.503746 1.016619
2024-12-22 0.012297 0.027670 0.059195 0.127488 0.270300 0.552664 1.149088
2024-12-29 0.011523 0.026859 0.059353 0.131985 0.288549 0.607085 1.298945
2025-01-05 0.010746 0.025923 0.059114 0.135589 0.305349 0.660406 1.452616
2025-01-12 0.009461 0.023629 0.055619 0.131615 0.305365 0.678987 1.535410
2025-01-19 0.008363 0.021605 0.052442 0.127903 0.305431 0.697540 1.620037
2025-01-26 0.007837 0.020890 0.052177 0.130877 0.320992 0.751442 1.788804
2025-02-02 0.007539 0.020705 0.053141 0.136887 0.344335 0.825180 2.010648
2025-02-09 0.007098 0.020081 0.052949 0.140037 0.361191 0.885837 2.208679
2025-02-16 0.006560 0.019118 0.051778 0.140569 0.371672 0.932651 2.378866
2025-02-23 0.006024 0.018076 0.050264 0.140013 0.379333 0.973489 2.538944
2025-03-02 0.005490 0.016955 0.048393 0.138266 0.383700 1.006693 2.683636